Russia Ukraine Conflict – A World War 3

As per latest us intelligence report (CNN) Russia has deployed 75% of its forces against Ukraine intensifying Russia Ukraine conflict

The Russia Ukraine conflict has been since 2014

Why is Russia Ukraine Conflict happening?

From Russian perspective, Ukraine opting NATO membership is a major threat to Russian security.
It had acted similarly when an erstwhile Soviet Union state Georgia was being tempted to avail a NATO membership.

Instead of resolving pertinent issues, United States sees it as an opportunity to establish it’s dominance in the area

Strategic blunder by Biden administration

Unable to divide adversaries

• Russia China bonding – Two biggest allies in opposition camp
  Tough sanctions against Russia might just fall off due to strong Chinese support

So even though Europe would be not buying russian energy and gas, China would be looking forward to it.
This Russian ban by European countries is going to hurt more to Europe than to Russia

Though china has always supported strongly the integrity of Ukraine since 2014
China is seeking more influence in world politics
China wants more dominant role in world economy

Another US strategic failure reflects in its relations with the adversaries. Bismarck said to have a better relationship with the adversary than they had with each other

Russian President Mr. Vladimir Putin wants to reunite Erstwhile Soviet Union states to boost the economic strength and reestablish the Soviet era dominance.

The past

After erstwhile Soviet Union breakup – Ukraine was 2nd largest land area among the Soviet states. It had better agriculture, industrial and weaponry advantage in comparison to other erstwhile Soviet states.
However, Location of Ukrainian makes it as much a part of European countries as of Russia territory

Ukraine having highest agricultural land amongst all USSR States Even more than that of France, Germany Italy Spain combined, considered as food bowl of Europe It has coal mines, uranium mines, and many other natural resources

Only through Ukraine, Russia can distribute it’s oil and gas to Europe

Prior to 2004, Ukraine was very supportive to Russia. After 2004. American and European influence started to increase in Ukraine.

Ukrainian leaders thought they are not being adequately benefitted from Russia and started to look towards Europe and that allowed NATO to spread it’s wings

Crimea has a population of 2.4 million,^[1] made up mostly of ethnic Russians with significant Ukrainian and Crimean Tatar minorities. It was declared as independent country by Russia. Russian forces moved in as peace keeping force. Later through a referendum that people of Crimea want to live under Russian federation, it was annexed to Russia
Same strategic planning appears to be going on in case of Ukraine where two pro Russian part of Ukraine has been declared independent counties. They are Lugansk and Donetsk

Russia protested to Georgia getting a membership of NATO. Russian forces attacked Georgia in August 2008, to stop it from getting NATO membership. Still almost 20% of Georgian territory is under Russian control.

Problems for Ukraine

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s decision to recognise the independence of Luhansk and Donetsk and to authorise the deployment of Russian troops to “maintain peace” in the regions appears to be similar approach as taken with Crimea and Georgia.

All the neighborhood area to Ukrain not part of Russian union have russian population in majority. Once these state go under russian federation, Ukraine will be a landlocked area

So Russian plan would be to isolate Ukraine. By gradually taking control of neighbouring areas which are mostly dominated by Russian population, Thus preventing NATO from taking over the control of the surrounding areas. Ukrainian access to sea ports will become dependent

The opinions expressed in this article are writer’s personal views. For more information please visit http://www.thevibrantray.com